Wednesday, 19 August 2015

Senior/Senior Reserve 18/8/15 Hand 4




Board 4
West Deals
Both Vul
♠3 2
♥8 6
♦10 9 8 3
♣Q 8 7 5 2
♠—
♥Q 9 5 4
♦A Q 6 5 4
♣A 10 9 6
N
WE
S
♠A K 10 7 6 5 4
♥J 10 3 2
♦K
♣4
♠Q J 9 8
♥A K 7
♦J 7 2
♣K J 3
EW 4♥; EW 2N; EW 2♠; EW 2♦; EW 1♣; Par −620

WestNorthEastSouth
1 ♦Pass1 ♠Dbl
2 ♣Pass2 ♥Pass
3 ♥Pass4 ♥All pass

3 comments:

  1. Hesitator19 August 2015 at 10:36

    Lead problem. Oppo have struggled to game in their second/third suit, so likely to be 4-4, with west having void/singleton spade. U have a 15hcp so pretty much can play pard to have a bust. Can their be any other lead than the AK and another heart? At the table there was - the spade 8! With adjacent honours it is better to lead the honour. In this case South was hoping for pard to have the Ts - but oppo have ~6 spades therefore pard has ~3, ie 2:1 odds against pard

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  2. Wayne Burrows19 August 2015 at 20:44

    Your conclusion is right - do not lead low from this holding - but your odds calculation is wrong. On the base assumption that the opponent has six spades and partner three, a low spade works whenever partner as the sA, sK or sT. However you have discounted partner having a high honour. If you place those cards with east now it is only 3:4 against - partner has three small spades and east four small spades.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hesitator20 August 2015 at 12:18

    Interesting, I hadn't thought the sAsK being fixed cards and therefore should remove them from the calc. Ta.

    ReplyDelete

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